Week 9 of the Canadian Football League season kicks off early on Tuesday night with Ottawa hosting Edmonton. The Elks are coming off of a bye week and look to continue their winning ways on the road. The Redblacks have been spiraling down as the league’s worst team since opening the season with a 16-12 win against Edmonton.
Later in the week, Hamilton will try to gain some separation in the East Division when they host Montreal. Winnipeg has an intriguing challenge at British Columbia, who the latter team is coming off a tough loss against Saskatchewan. Toronto has the week off.
|Week 9 Odds from FanDuel||Spread||Total||Moneyline|
Tuesday, 7:30 PM ET – Edmonton (-7.5) At Ottawa (+7.5)
Ottawa has scored 13 points or less in four out of their last five defeats. They had their worst showing offensively last time out against Hamilton, losing 24-7. To make matters worse, they have lost both main quarterbacks, Dominique Davis and Matt Nichols, and will rely on one of their rookies to make the start.
Prior to kickoff, former Louisiana Monroe quarterback Caleb Evans is listed as the starter. Regardless of who plays more, it’ll be tough to play against the top-ranked passing defense in the league. Edmonton only allows 298.2 yards per game, which is also ranked first in the CFL.
Result: Ottawa grabbed their second win of the season and against Edmonton, 34-24. Evans had a terrific debut at quarterback, completing 15-of-22 passes for 191 yards, 3 touchdowns, and no interceptions. The Redblacks also held a significant advantage in return yardage to set themselves up well on offense.
Friday, 10:00 PM ET – Winnipeg (-2.5) At BC (+2.5)
Winnipeg hasn’t played since their rout of Edmonton on September 18. It ended up being a terrific three games in September for the Blue Bombers, scoring 93 total points. While they don’t dominate statistically on offense, there are two aspects that have led to their success.
The team has converted 10 touchdowns on 15 red zone opportunities, which tops the CFL. The defense also clamps down in the final 15 minutes, allowing just six total points all year. Winnipeg has trailed at half in three games, but still went 2-1 in those games.
Saturday, 4:00 PM ET – Montreal (+2.5) At Hamilton (-2.5)
Hamilton joins Winnipeg and Toronto as the only teams that are undefeated at home this season. Granted, the Tiger-Cats have only had two games at home so far. That margin will change with three straight home games against East Division opponents beginning this week.
This matchup features contrasting styles of play. Hamilton has its strengths on offense while Montreal leads the CFL in scoring and rushing yards. They allow 25.7 points per game, and their last five opponents have scored 27 or more points against them. Last time out, Hamilton defeated Montreal 27-10 on the road in Week 4.
Saturday, 7:00 PM ET – Saskatchewan (-2.5) At Calgary (+2.5)
Week 9 concludes with Saskatchewan looking to keep the pressure on Winnipeg. The Roughriders have rebounded from those defeats against the Blue Bombers. They had no troubles disposing of Toronto at home and edged out a thrilling 31-24 win over BC in their previous game.
Similar to Winnipeg, Saskatchewan is dominant in the fourth quarter. They are 5-0 when they hold the lead entering the final 15 minutes. Stampeders quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell has a strong 9-3 record against the Roughriders. However, this year’s squad has won just two games and struggles to find consistency on either side of the ball.
Sports Betting Recommendations
- Winnipeg-BC Under 53.5 (-125, FanDuel)
- Hamilton -2.5 (-110, DraftKings)
- Saskatchewan -2 (-110, DraftKings)
After a surprising Tuesday result, should we expect other stunning results this weekend? Based on the spreads, any team has a chance to win with no one even favored by a field goal. For Saturday’s doubleheader, expect the favorites to win. Hamilton has the benefit of being at home with a strong defense and Calgary simply looks too vulnerable at this time.
As for Friday night’s big contest, the total seems a bit high on this one. Both teams are ranked in the top three in scoring offense, but that’s also true on scoring defense. Combined, both teams are 5-9 on the total this season.
Here was our reasoning behind taking Edmonton by a 7.5-point margin on Tuesday:
Edmonton should be favored by more, but they are just 2-4 against the spread and score just 19.3 points per game. The only team that scores less per game is Ottawa (14.5 points per game).
Still, the Elks have a significantly better offense by comparison and their high-ranked defense should decimate the rookie quarterbacks. Those two ATS wins did come on the road (and were also outright wins) while the Redblacks have lost five straight games outright and ATS.