For two straight seasons, Edmonton suffered disappointing results in the first round of the postseason. They weren’t able to get past the Chicago Blackhawks two years ago, and they got swept in all four games against the Winnipeg Jets last year. How have things changed for the Oilers, and is it worth taking their top player as the league’s top goalscorer this season? We’ll have that recommendation and more in this season-long betting preview.
What Happened Last Season?
In the North Division playing against other teams from Canada, Edmonton finished with a 35-19-2 record over 56 games. That result was good for second place and a favorable series against Winnipeg. They ended up getting swept in that first round, losing all four games to the Jets.
The Oilers still had a strong team last season with both the offense and defense ranked in the top 10. They scored 183 total goals and had a +29 goal differential. Both Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl combined for 64 total goals in the regular season. Even at the age of 38, goaltender Mike Smith had a terrific campaign. He went 21-6-2 and recorded a 92.1 save percentage.
Player And Coaching Changes For The Oilers
Many of the key players will be back for the 2021-22 season at Edmonton. Arguably the best overall player in the league, Connor McDavid returns for his seventh season with Edmonton. He put up 105 points (33 goals, 72 assists) over the 56-game season last year. He’s now had four seasons with 100 or more points.
Still, there’s plenty of changes happening across the board. Center Zach Hyman comes in after spending his first six seasons with Toronto. He’s likely to see playing time alongside McDavid. The bottom six in the forward group has also seen changes to help improve the goal differential.
On the injury front, defender Oscar Klefbom could be out for the entire season as he recovers from shoulder surgery. To replace him, the team signed Duncan Keith. The 38-year-old is a longtime veteran with 10 All-Star appearances in his 16 seasons with Chicago.
Edmonton Oilers Team Futures
Outright Winner Props
|Edmonton Oilers Odds||DraftKings||BetMGM|
|Stanley Cup Champions||+2000||+2200|
|Western Conference Winner||+900||+1200|
|Pacific Division Winner||+380||+400|
Edmonton may have the most exciting player in the NHL, but that alone doesn’t make them the favorite. BetMGM has them at +2200, which is right alongside the Minnesota Wild. Colorado and Las Vegas receive the most attention to win the Western Conference, but the Oilers are right behind them.
It may be a little adventurous to see them winning the Stanley Cup with recent performances. They should have the fire under them after getting swept by Winnipeg, but can they actually make a deep run in the postseason? A better opportunity may exist in winning the Pacific Division or Western Conference overall, where only Vegas and Colorado could keep Edmonton from achieving those accomplishments.
Over/Under 99.5 Team Total Points
When immediately looking at Edmonton’s history, it’s hard to even consider taking over on the total points. Since the early 1990s, the Oilers only hit the century mark in total points in 2017-18 with 103 points. Under the other seasons with McDavid, the team hasn’t had more than 83 points in a season.
However, it’s worth considering how poor the Pacific Division is expected to be this season. Vegas is currently the favorite and there’s a lot of excitement over the new Seattle Kraken franchise. Edmonton is expected to finish at the top of the division. Higher odds are on the side of the over on this team total at DraftKings.
Edmonton Oilers Player Futures
Top Goalscorers (at DraftKings)
- Leon Draisaitl (+700)
- Connor McDavid (+750)
- Zach Hyman (+5000)
- Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (+15000)
It may be surprising, but Connor McDavid is not the favorite to get the most goals on the team. That edge slightly goes to Leon Draisaitl, but either option looks pretty good to take a chance on. There’s a very clear potential that either of these players will get a lot of opportunities to score throughout the season, and against poor competition.
Getting a little more money with McDavid makes him the recommendation if you’re thinking that way. As for the long shots to get the most goals, Zach Hyman will be learning with a new team. For significantly higher odds, there’s much better value in Nuget-Hopkins. However, it’s probably not worth putting a lot of money on either of these options.
Sports Betting Recommendations
Out of all the outright props available, the best one to consider is Edmonton winning the Pacific Division. They are projected as the second-best team in a division that really opens up if Vegas struggles. But if the Golden Knights do not live up to their preseason hype, then it’s hard to not like the Oilers with their great players.
Regardless of Edmonton winning the Pacific Division or not, there’s a good chance they won’t hit over 100 team points this season. It requires a win total that is unnecessary to take the division. Historically, the Oilers simply don’t have enough dominant regular seasons to see them really beat up on their division or in the Western Conference.