Dolphins Vs. Bills Odds And Betting Picks For NFL Week 8

Buffalo Bills (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS) will look to put the loss to the Tennessee Titans behind them this week by remaining undefeated in division play with a win over the Miami Dolphins (1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS). The Dolphins would love to bring their six-game losing streak to an end. But that will not be easy to do against a talented, well-coached Bills team in Buffalo.

Let’s examine the angles in this Bills-Dolphins sports betting preview.

Miami Dolphins At Buffalo Bills – Sunday, Oct. 31 – 1:00 PM ET

PROLINE+ Odds: Bills -14.5 (+100), Total – 48.5 (-110)

 Best Dolphins Odds Best Bills Odds 
Spread+13.5 (+100)PointsBet-13.5 (-110)BetMGM
Moneyline+650BetRivers-833BetMGM
TotalU48.5 (-110)BetMGMO48.5 (-109)BetRivers

Are Bills Ready To Go After Reflecting On Tough Titans Loss?

The biggest threat the Bills face this week is not the Dolphins but themselves. If they dwell on how the Titans game played out or don’t take the game seriously since Miami is struggling this year, they risk not being focused. Facing a distracted Bills team might be the break the Dolphins need to steal a win over a division opponent.

Buffalo did almost everything right against Tennessee. They generated 417 yards of offense, scored on six of ten drives, and would have scored on seven and won the game had quarterback Josh Allen not slipped on fourth and goal. If Allen throws for 300+ yards against the Dolphins’ defense, the Bills will be hard to beat.

The defense is still one of the highest-ranked units in the NFL. While the run defense gave up 143 yards to Derrick Henry last week, it is still one of the better units in the NFL (89.7 yds/gm allowed is 6th overall). But they will not have to worry about facing one of the league’s premier running backs this week. Miami running back Myles Gaskin set a new season-high last week against the Falcons with 67 yards on 15 carries.

If the Bills can focus on the task at hand and bring their “A” game, they should not have too much trouble against a Dolphins team they already won a 35-0 beatdown against. However, the Dolphins limited the Bills’ offense to just 314 yards in that game.

Dolphins QB Looks To Convert Production Into Wins

You could make an argument that the Dolphins’ season got derailed in Week 2 when quarterback Tua Tagovailoa was knocked out of the game and forced to miss the next few weeks because of an injury. Since coming back a couple of weeks ago, Tagovailoa has been the fourth-best quarterback according to Pro Football Focus (vs. Jacksonville and Atlanta). This is despite not leading his team to a win.

Take away a couple of mistakes and get some better play out of the defense, and the Dolphins could have won both games. They certainly did not lose either because of Tagovailoa.

But playing well against lesser teams like the Jaguars and Falcons is one thing. Doing so against one of the best defensive teams in the NFL is something else entirely.

Tagovailoa will probably continue to lean on one of his best playmakers, rookie wide receiver Jaylen Waddle (21 targets the last two weeks; 17 receptions for 153 yards and two touchdowns). It would help if the Dolphins could establish a running game against the Bills. But that will not be easy against Buffalo’s top-ten-run defense.

Dolphins-Bills Betting Picks

Tagovailoa needs to continue to play better for the Dolphins to have a shot. But for Miami to win, he needs some help from the defense. It may be asking too much for one of the worst defenses in the NFL (32nd in total yards allowed per game) to step up against one of the most potent offenses in the league.

Buffalo was still working some of the kinks out when these two met back in Week 2. Look for Josh Allen to have a much better day this time. Even if Tagovailoa has a career day, Buffalo should win this one. It may be asking a bit too much for them to win by two touchdowns—but it is certainly possible.

As for the total, it is easy to see the Bills do their part and score 30+ points in this game. But while the Dolphins might do their part and score 20+ points, they might not. Look for this one to go under the total.

About the Author

Travis Pulver

Travis Pulver is a contributor to Toronto Sports Media. He's a lifelong football fan, something he says comes naturally having been born in the football-crazy state of Texas. Through the years, his love of sports has extended into baseball, basketball, golf, and rugby.
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