Toronto Sports Media will highlight top NFL games to bet on during the remainder of the season. In Week 8, Tampa Bay travels to New Orleans for the biggest matchup on Sunday afternoon. Bucs-Saints kickoff is set for 4:25 PM ET and will be shown on CTV Toronto (and most local CTV networks).
This contest is the only one featuring both teams above the .500 record mark during the weekend. Green Bay vs. Arizona was another to start the week on Thursday, and it certainly lived up to the hype.
It’s hard to believe, but this is only New Orleans’ second home game this season. They lost a home date due to Hurricane Ida to open up the season, but four of their first seven games were scheduled away from home.
Here’s how to bet the game with some team and player props to consider. PROLINE+ in Ontario does not feature player props or same-game parlays, but similar props are available through traditional PROLINE.
|Sportsbook||TB Spread||NO Spread||TB Moneyline||NO Moneyline||Total|
|DraftKings||-4.5 (-110)||+4.5 (-110)||-220||+180||49.5|
|FanDuel||-4.5 (-108)||+4.5 (+112)||-220||+184||50.5|
|PROLINE+||-4.5 (-110)||+4.5 (-110)||-227||+185||49.5|
Same Game Parlay: Bucs ML, Total Under 58.5 (+100, DraftKings)
To no surprise, the biggest change from losing Drew Brees at quarterback is the passing attack. They rank 31st overall (176.2 yds/gm), but new quarterback Jameis Winston has been efficient under center. He’s been completing 58.9 percent of his passes and avoids mistakes with a 13-3 touchdown-to-interception ratio.
Tampa Bay’s weakness on defense has been against the pass, but they have really shut down their opponents in recent weeks. They’ve allowed 22 or less points in four straight games. It’s hard to not see them roll again even with New Orleans being desperate for a solid home win. Not to mention this is another “revenge” game with Winston facing his older club.
Instead of going one way or the other on a traditional bet, consider a single-game parlay at one of the sportsbooks. The spread being above a field goal is too high for comfort, so taking the Buccaneers at the moneyline is a better choice. This allows us to bump the total higher to take the under.
Bucs QB Tom Brady – Over 311.5 passing yards (-115, DraftKings)
Since the return against New England, Tom Brady has been on an absolute tear under center. He’s thrown for 11 touchdown passes and is coming off an easy 38-3 victory to Chicago. Brady’s passing yardage was only 211 due to constant short fields with a running attack that collected 182 yards.
That should be an aberration when he faces a defense that allows over 250 passing yards on average. The Saints haven’t exactly faced a gauntlet of QBs in the past month, featuring Daniel Jones and Taylor Heinicke. They only successfully slowed down Seattle’s Geno Smith.
Don’t let recency get in the way. Brady should easily fly past this total as we expect longer drives throughout the game.
Saints RB Alvin Kamara – Over 62.5 rushing yards (-115, BetMGM)
Running back Alvin Kamara has been the star of the offense so far. He leads the team with 419 rushing yards and is second in catches with 241 yards. He’s combined for five total touchdowns. When you factor in rushing attempts and receptions, he’s contributed to 49.8 percent of offensive production.
Kamara has cleared the century mark in combined rushing and receiving yards over the last three games. Tampa Bay’s stout defense is ranked at the top against the rush, so Kamara’s yardage on the ground comes at a discount. Considering how much use Kamara tends to get, he should still break that total despite the defense he’s facing.
Bucs To Win By 1-10 Points (+210, PROLINE+)
Things should be pretty tight between two teams that are expected to contend for the NFC South division. The Bucs have the upper hand with a quarterback that’s on fire and a solid rushing defense.
Since scoring could be a little lower than expected, taking Tampa Bay to win by single digits is a solid option for triple the money. For an even bigger longshot, the Bucs winning by 1 to 6 points is available at +350.